For decades, the debate in Denmark around problems with mass
immigration was stuck in a self-loathing blame game of "failed
integration". That somehow, if the Danes had just tried harder, been
less prejudice, offered more opportunities, the many foreigners with
radically different cultures would have been able to integrate
successfully. If not in the first generation, then the second. For much
of this time, I thought that was a reasonable thesis. But reality has
proved it wrong.
If literally every country in Europe has
struggled in the same ways, and for decades on end, to produce the
fabled "successful integration", it's not a compelling explanation that
it's just because the Danes, Swedes, Norweigans, Germans, French, Brits,
or Belgians just didn't try hard enough. It's that the mission, on the
grand and statistical scale, was impossible in many cases.
As
Thomas Sowell tells us, this is because there are no solutions to
intractable, hard problems like cultural integration between wildly
different ways of living. Only trade offs. Many of which are unfavorable
to all parties.
But by the same token, just because the overall
project of integrating many of the most divergent cultures from mass
immigrations has failed, there are many individual cases of great
success. Much of the Danish press, for example, has for years propped up
the hope of broad integration success by sharing hopeful, heartwarming
stories of highly successful integration. And you love to see it.
Heartwarming anecdotes don't settle trade offs, though. They don't prove a solution or offer a conclusion either.
I
think the conclusion at this point is clear. First, cultural
integration, let alone assimilation, is incredibly difficult. The more
divergent the cultures, the more difficult the integration. And for some
combinations, it's outright impossible.
Second, the compromise
of multiculturalism has been an abject failure in Europe. Allowing
parallel cultures to underpin parallel societies is poison for the
national unity and trust.
Which brings us to another bad social
thesis from the last thirty-some years: That national unity, character,
and belonging not only isn't important, but actively harmful. That
national pride in history, traditions, and culture is primarily an
engine of bigotry.
What a tragic thesis with catastrophic consequences.
But
at this point, there's a lot of political capital invested into all
these bad ideas. In sticking with the tired blame game. Thinking that
what hasn't worked for fifty years will surely start working if we give
it five more.
Now, I actually have a nostalgic appreciation for
the beautiful ideals behind such hope for humanity, but I also think
that at this point it is as delusional as it is dangerous.
And I
think it's directly responsible for the rise of so-called populist
movements all over Europe. They're directly downstream from the original
theses of success in cultural integration going through just-try-harder
efforts as well as the multicultural compromise. A pair of ideas that
had buy-in across much of the European board until reality simply became
too intolerable for too many who had to live with the consequences.
Such
widespread realization doesn't automatically correct the course of a
societal ship that's been sailing in the wrong direction for decades, of
course. The playbook that took DEI and wokeness to blitzkrieg success
in the States, by labeling any dissent to those ideologies racist or
bigoted, have also worked to hold the line on the question of mass
immigration in Europe until very recently.
But I think the line
is breaking in Europe, just as it recently did in America. The old
accusations have finally lost their power from years of excessive use,
and suppressing the reality that many people can see with their own eyes
is getting harder.
I completely understand why that makes people
anxious, though. History is full of examples of combative nationalism
leading us to dark edges. And, especially in Germany, I can understand
the historical hesitation when there's even a hint of something that
sounds like what they heard in the 30s.
But you can hold both
considerations in your head at the same time without losing your wits.
Mass immigration to Europe has been a failure, and the old thesis of
naive hope has to get replaced by a new strategy that deals with
reality. AND that not all proposed fixes by those who diagnosed the
situation early are either sound or palatable.
World history is
full of people who've had the correct diagnosis but a terrible
prescription. And I think it's fair to say that it's not even obvious
what the right prescription is at this point!
Vibrant, strong
societies surely benefit from some degree of immigration. Especially
from culturally-compatible regions based on national and economic
benefit. But whatever the specific trade-offs taken from here, it seems
clear that for much of Europe, they're going to look radically different
than they've done in the past three decades or so.
Best get started then

Sem comentários:
Enviar um comentário